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of companies being started. there actually in the united states has been a dip in new starts. usually there's an upswing in new starts in the recession. we have a very unusual recession going on here. i think it's largely driven by the origins of the recession, that it was a finance-based recession. this has rippled through in terms of credit into the economy and it's changing the nature of available capital resources for startups. although your concern is logical, i don't think it's what's happening right now. >> the number one concern people have about the u.k. is the proximity to europe. this seems to be the number one issue. you can't do anything about the back drop. the government has pinned its hopes on programs like the funding for lending scheme. do you think this does anything to encourage small businesses? >> there's a couple of points in there. i completely agree that we have a challenge that our largest trading partner is the e.u. there's little to be done about that per se. but funding -- the lending for business scheme is a challenge in the startup context in a number of level
the world's largest economy in the united states. i would imagine if in three to ten years the financial system were to collapse because of the overprinting of money, i would imagine we would have a lot to do with that as the biggest players in all of this. does that mean that you are pessimistic about the united states' ability to come to grips with its unfunded liabilities and entitlements? is that what's going to cause this, we're not going to fix these? >> i'm very concerned that regardless of who will be in the white house next year, the republicans or the democrats, the fiscal deficit will stay above a trillion dollars as far as the eye can see. and that more money printing is on the way, qe 3, qe 4, so on. but you understand i want to clarify one point, i am bearish about the financial system and i think eventually it will collapse, but if you think it through, what is better to own in a systemic crisis, cash with the banks, treasury bills, or real estate in the u.s., or equities? i think that real estate in the u.s., i'm not talking about west 15 where sandy sold his condo for 8
, it's still actually quite sticky in the united states. badly there needs to be a dose of fiscal consolidation. we would say it's going to be 1.5% of gdp. in the eurozone it's -- if the uk it's 1.25. >> good to see you today. thanks for joining us. >>> german chancellor angela merkel is preparing for yet another meeting today -- >> how is she doing? >> it's one after another after another. she is set to hold talks with herman von rompuy. she's been having down time and having a few beers at a german beer festival. >> this is how she does it. >> the german chancellor did get on stage and called on germany to have solidarity. >> is she on the stage? there she is. i wonder if she would have a sash and flowers. she looks quite happy. >> she just wants the beer. >> is that post the beer? she looks like she's enjoying herself. >> love it. >> where do we go on the road to the beer festival? >> oktoberfest. >>> still to come, president obama is set to make his pitch for four more years in the white house as the democratic convention kicks off. could the real focus be on friday's jobs rep
's happening in the united states. >> certainly that's going to bring down the large indices and i just wonder if you think in the fourth quarter there will be a put from central banks or from hedge fund managers that have to play catchup or could we look at the last three months last year? >> central banks are obviously very powerful. you know the old saying, don't fight the fed. you have to be very careful. but as you stretch out the time rise and what you find historically is there is no relationship between liquidity and stock market movement. but i think what's much more important is your original question, if the profit cycle continues to decelerate, i think that's what people want to think about and that's what people want to position their portfolios for. i still think personally that you want to look at more defensive sectors which i think are less prone to have these big earnings disappointments right now. >> rich, can you put together these two knows in the market that you want to be in more dmfticily oriented companies and also this other thought in the market that you want to be i
manufacturing contracting here in the united states. yesterday, we learned it's contracting in the china for the first time since november and in europe, it continues to contract. and yet, you think that the market is well supported here, why? >> i think it's going to be a range bound market. i think right now, we're in the tougher end of the range. there are two things that are supporting the market. one, there is an economic value to entities and so the lbo or acquisition value is providing support. to the extent companies return cash to shareholders, that offers some support. >> do you see many acquisitions in the market at the moment? >> no, and that's one of the things that's been surprising and disappointing at the same time. it's interesting. there are areas of the market where you've seen capital flow to economic opportunity. for example, buying single family homes to rent them out. which is an arbitrage that was made available by the decline housing prices you haven't seen a comparable level of activity on the corporate side, which is surprising. there are a couple of opportunit
level, and it took 19 years to midthat old level again. the united states over the same period. it went back up, back up, back down, and now here we are, if you can zoom in on the edge here. this is the big question for the fed, what's the right level of unemployment to come back down to. is the old number something we can attain, or is the level higher. we looked at it from different angles and it looks cyclical. '08 and '09, things like construction came mack. unemployment rose too fast for it to be long-term government issues. programs like extended unemployment insurance have maybe kept the rate high. let's look at what the response was. lacker and bullard say there is a huge percentage of people unemployed for a long period of time. where is the deflation. all of this extra slack, then we should have deflation in the economy, and the former president of the central bank. an expert in monetary policy, put up this chart. when you look at core inflation, there is no deflation. he argues thath race should maybe be higher. bill, a big debate in the federal reserve. what number should we
by examining 113 indicators from official data sources and polling 15,000 executives. united states continued a four-year slide to the seventh spot. separately, a judge ruling amr can abandon its pilot's union contract. saying the bankrupt parent of american airlines corrected certain issues that caused him to reject the same request in the past. amr is trying to save more than $1 billion a year in labor costs. it can unilaterally impose work terms on its pilot, all is happening as talks between amr and u.s. air continue. >>> in the meantime, a very complicated story. we've been trying to follow the twists and turns. the fbi now says there is no evidence to support claims that hacking group anonymous infiltrated an fbi agent's laptop and lifted data for more than 12 million apple products. however the front page of "the financial times" lays it out and says hackers embarrass apple with this data release. there were over a million different devices, numbers were published online. this is a story that has many odd twists. the hackers said they would not give any interviews about this breach unt
% of the budget. >>> back in the united states, the new york attorney general is investigating whether private equity firms have abused tax strategy in order to cut hundreds of millions from their tax bills. eric schneiderman wants documents that reveal whether they converted certain fgt fees into investments which are taxed at a lower rate than ordinary xhk. economy. schneiderman is looking to see if he's trying to embarrass bain. andrew, right now, i'll send it over to you. >> fascinating story. hope we talk about that in a little bit. corporate headlines this morning. valiant pharmaceuticals is buying metacis for $24 a share. a 39% premium. the deal boosting valiant skin care offering and adds botox to it's portfolio. oracle is launching an appeal on five-year long court case against s.a.p. last month they agreed to pay oracle $306 million over copyright infringement allegations. great to be back. what do you think, a little right here in. >> i've never heard of disport? >> botox? >> you're not who i'm worried about. it's clear by saying you might need it, i know what you're actually saying
Search Results 0 to 7 of about 8